Category Archives: Theory

Tech Forecasting: Comments on 6 Years of Forecasts (3 of 7)

Over six years of prediction shows, when the hosts were right, they were very right.  When they were wrong, it was usually because they were too early or because of a surprise event in the area they were forecasting.  Most … Continue reading

Posted in Disruption, Industry, Invention, Theory | Tagged , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

DTNS 2397: Tech Forecasting for 2015 (1 of 7)

In the value-for-value world of DTNS, Patreon and Tom Merrit – I might not be the best contributor.  Trying to think of ways to give back, I listened to the 2015 forecast show, DTNS 2397, that was published on December … Continue reading

Posted in Business, Disruption, Innovation, Invention, Methods, Theory | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Vendor Selection: What Works

The California DOT’s selection of a partnership with Fluor and Shanghai Zhenhua Heavy Industry Co., Ltd. (“ZPMC”) to build the new section of the Bay Bridge hasn’t gone well.  It isn’t easy to chose the right partner for a unique project, … Continue reading

Posted in Industry, Marketing, Theory | Tagged , , , , , , | Comments Off on Vendor Selection: What Works

Building the Right Team

In our management meetings the other week, we talked about what we want our teams to look like.  Running our commercial organization, my ideal team needs to reflect the needs of the market and be able to help our customers … Continue reading

Posted in Industry, Theory | Tagged , , , , , , | Comments Off on Building the Right Team

Organizations Want to Live

Any organization, once it is created, takes on a life of its own.  It wants to live.  Just as Kevin Kelly describes ‘technology’ as a seventh kingdom of life, in many ways the individual organizations encountered every day also behave … Continue reading

Posted in Theory, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , | Comments Off on Organizations Want to Live

Seven Red Lines (3): Anderson the Expert’s Failings

Anderson the Expert is in a tough spot, his value as an expert wasn’t well defended, but he doesn’t do very much to help himself out.  Stuck in a meeting with a customer who is uncertain of their goals, a … Continue reading

Posted in History, Industry, Theory | Tagged , , , , , | Comments Off on Seven Red Lines (3): Anderson the Expert’s Failings

Seven Red Lines (aka “The Expert”): The Transcript

[If dealing with absurd situations like those outlined in this hysterical sketch is part of your work life – learn about how to deal with them better following Goldratt’s Major Concepts or by reading this Chapter by Chapter summary of … Continue reading

Posted in Disruption, Invention, Marketing, Materials Science, Theory | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , | 3 Comments

Policy and Innovation History (Radar, Manhattan Project and Apollo)

Innovation is a newborn baby that politicians love to kiss – regions and municipalities want more of it, but are uncertain of how to proceed.  Metrics are challenging – for the politician and bureaucrat it isn’t clear whether they should … Continue reading

Posted in Disruption, History, Industry, Invention, Theory | Tagged , , , , , , | 1 Comment

New Products: What We Study

I must study politics and war that my sons may have liberty to study mathematics and philosophy. My sons ought to study mathematics and philosophy, geography, natural history, naval architecture, navigation, commerce, and agriculture, in order to give their children … Continue reading

Posted in Disruption, History, Industry, Innovation, Theory | Tagged , , , , , , | Comments Off on New Products: What We Study

Define the Mission, then the Vehicle

Pat Duggins’ book Final Countdown, which documents NASA’s move to shutdown the Space Shuttle Program repeats an important aviation and aerospace maxim: The mission should define the vehicle, not the vehicle define the mission. Apollo’s mission was to put a … Continue reading

Posted in Aerospace, History, Industry, Innovation, Invention, Marketing, Materials Science, Theory, VC | Tagged , , , , , | 1 Comment